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SM
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Swedish Allsvenskan | Gameweek 11
Jun 27, 2022 at 6pm UK
Guldfageln Arena
Kalmar
1 - 0
Varnamo
Saetra (5')
Saetra (45+3'), Gustafsson (56')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Magashy (34'), Wenderson (49'), Becirovic (87')
Coverage of the Swedish Allsvenskan clash between Kalmar and Varnamo.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Mjallby AIF 1-1 Kalmar
Saturday, May 28 at 2pm in Swedish Allsvenskan
Last Game: Varnamo 1-0 Hammarby
Sunday, May 29 at 4.30pm in Swedish Allsvenskan

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kalmar win with a probability of 46.47%. A draw had a probability of 26.8% and a win for Varnamo had a probability of 26.74%.

The most likely scoreline for a Kalmar win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.95%) and 2-0 (8.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.63%), while for a Varnamo win it was 0-1 (8.92%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Kalmar in this match.

Result
KalmarDrawVarnamo
46.47% (0.24 0.24) 26.79% (0.225 0.23) 26.74% (-0.467 -0.47)
Both teams to score 48.04% (-0.983 -0.98)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.61% (-1.1 -1.1)56.38% (1.097 1.1)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.6% (-0.897 -0.9)77.4% (0.89400000000001 0.89)
Kalmar Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.76% (-0.36800000000001 -0.37)24.24% (0.366 0.37)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.4% (-0.522 -0.52)58.6% (0.52 0.52)
Varnamo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.41% (-0.984 -0.98)36.59% (0.982 0.98)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.62% (-1.003 -1)73.38% (1 1)
Score Analysis
    Kalmar 46.46%
    Varnamo 26.74%
    Draw 26.78%
KalmarDrawVarnamo
1-0 @ 12.56% (0.39 0.39)
2-1 @ 8.95% (-0.049999999999999 -0.05)
2-0 @ 8.91% (0.186 0.19)
3-1 @ 4.23% (-0.07 -0.07)
3-0 @ 4.21% (0.044 0.04)
3-2 @ 2.13% (-0.094 -0.09)
4-1 @ 1.5% (-0.041 -0.04)
4-0 @ 1.49%
Other @ 2.49%
Total : 46.46%
1-1 @ 12.63% (0.06 0.06)
0-0 @ 8.87% (0.368 0.37)
2-2 @ 4.5% (-0.148 -0.15)
Other @ 0.78%
Total : 26.78%
0-1 @ 8.92% (0.138 0.14)
1-2 @ 6.35% (-0.14 -0.14)
0-2 @ 4.48% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
1-3 @ 2.13% (-0.106 -0.11)
2-3 @ 1.51% (-0.091 -0.09)
0-3 @ 1.5% (-0.057 -0.06)
Other @ 1.84%
Total : 26.74%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Mjallby AIF 1-1 Kalmar
Saturday, May 28 at 2pm in Swedish Allsvenskan
Last Game: Kalmar 1-0 Djurgarden
Sunday, May 22 at 4.30pm in Swedish Allsvenskan
Last Game: Hacken 3-1 Kalmar
Sunday, May 15 at 2pm in Swedish Allsvenskan
Last Game: Kalmar 2-0 Hammarby
Sunday, May 8 at 4.30pm in Swedish Allsvenskan
Last Game: Goteborg 1-2 Kalmar
Monday, May 2 at 6pm in Swedish Allsvenskan
Last Game: Kalmar 1-2 Norrkoping
Tuesday, April 26 at 6pm in Swedish Allsvenskan
Last Game: Varnamo 1-0 Hammarby
Sunday, May 29 at 4.30pm in Swedish Allsvenskan
Last Game: Helsingborg 1-4 Varnamo
Saturday, May 21 at 4.30pm in Swedish Allsvenskan
Last Game: Mjallby AIF 1-1 Varnamo
Saturday, May 14 at 2pm in Swedish Allsvenskan
Last Game: Varnamo 1-2 Hacken
Monday, May 9 at 6pm in Swedish Allsvenskan
Last Game: Norrkoping 2-0 Varnamo
Monday, May 2 at 6pm in Swedish Allsvenskan
Last Game: Varnamo 2-0 Degerfors
Monday, April 25 at 6pm in Swedish Allsvenskan
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Premier League Table
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1MalmoMalmo98102361725
2HackenHacken961225111419
3ElfsborgElfsborg86112071319
4IFK NorrkopingNorrkoping8521147717
5BrommapojkarnaBrommapojkarna95131212016
6Djurgardens IFDjurgarden94141414013
7Mjallby AIF933387112
8Halmstads BKHalmstad9405916-712
9KalmarKalmar83231110111
10HammarbyHammarby93241316-311
11Varnamo8305710-39
12Degerfors93061024-149
13IFK GoteborgGoteborg914410917
14AIK FotbollAIK9135713-66
15SiriusSirius9054917-85
16Varbergs BoISVarbergs9045619-134
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