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African Nations Championship | Group Stage
Jan 20, 2023 at 4pm UK
Estádio Nacional de OMBAKA
MN
Angola
0 - 0
Mauritania

Gilberto (28'), Herenilson (49')
FT

Sy (40'), Mheimid (42'), Diaw (90+6')

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
African Nations Championship
Last Game: Mali 3-3 Angola
Monday, January 16 at 4pm in African Nations Championship
All competitions
Last Game: Mauritania 1-1 Mali
Thursday, August 18 at 8pm in International Friendlies

We said: Angola 1-1 Mauritania

Both teams have developed a knack of being hard to beat of late, and we expect that trend to continue here with the sides cancelling each other, giving rise to a share of the spoils come the sound of the final whistle. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Angola win with a probability of 76.05%. A draw had a probability of 17.1% and a win for Mauritania had a probability of 6.88%.

The most likely scoreline for an Angola win was 2-0 with a probability of 16.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (15.97%) and 3-0 (11.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (7.54%), while for a Mauritania win it was 0-1 (3.52%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
AngolaDrawMauritania
76.05% (0.414 0.41) 17.06% (-0.328 -0.33) 6.88% (-0.087 -0.09)
Both teams to score 32.81% (0.436 0.44)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.77% (0.941 0.94)52.23% (-0.943 -0.94)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.06% (0.804 0.8)73.94% (-0.806 -0.81)
Angola Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.97% (0.38799999999999 0.39)12.03% (-0.39 -0.39)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
62.49% (0.818 0.82)37.51% (-0.819 -0.82)
Mauritania Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
37.3% (0.33199999999999 0.33)62.7% (-0.334 -0.33)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
8.03% (0.155 0.16)91.97% (-0.157 -0.16)
Score Analysis
    Angola 76.05%
    Mauritania 6.88%
    Draw 17.06%
AngolaDrawMauritania
2-0 @ 16.91% (-0.12 -0.12)
1-0 @ 15.97% (-0.36 -0.36)
3-0 @ 11.94% (0.1 0.1)
2-1 @ 7.9% (0.036 0.04)
4-0 @ 6.32% (0.147 0.15)
3-1 @ 5.57% (0.109 0.11)
4-1 @ 2.95% (0.101 0.1)
5-0 @ 2.68% (0.101 0.1)
3-2 @ 1.3% (0.04 0.04)
5-1 @ 1.25% (0.061 0.06)
6-0 @ 0.95% (0.05 0.05)
Other @ 2.31%
Total : 76.05%
0-0 @ 7.54% (-0.286 -0.29)
1-1 @ 7.46% (-0.08 -0.08)
2-2 @ 1.84% (0.029 0.03)
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 17.06%
0-1 @ 3.52% (-0.092 -0.09)
1-2 @ 1.74% (0.002 0)
Other @ 1.62%
Total : 6.88%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Mali 3-3 Angola
Monday, January 16 at 4pm in African Nations Championship
Last Game: South Africa 1-1 Angola
Sunday, November 20 at 1pm in International Friendlies
Last Game: Angola 1-0 Botswana
Thursday, November 17 at 1pm in International Friendlies
Last Game: Botswana 1-0 Angola
Sunday, July 10 at 1pm in COSAFA Cup
Last Game: Angola 3-0 Seychelles
Thursday, July 7 at 4pm in COSAFA Cup
Last Game: Angola 3-1 Comoros
Tuesday, July 5 at 4pm in COSAFA Cup
Last Game: Mauritania 1-1 Mali
Thursday, August 18 at 8pm in International Friendlies
Last Game: Mauritania 1-0 Mali
Monday, August 15 at 8pm in International Friendlies
Last Game: Gabon 0-0 Mauritania
Wednesday, June 8 at 5pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last Game: Mauritania 3-0 Sudan
Saturday, June 4 at 8pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last Game: Mauritania 2-0 Libya
Tuesday, March 29 at 8pm in International Friendlies
Last Game: Mauritania 2-1 Mozambique
Saturday, March 26 at 7pm in International Friendlies
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