SM
| Current Group F Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Mali | 3 | 3 | 7 |
| 2 | Gambia | 3 | 2 | 7 |
| 3 | Tunisia | 3 | 2 | 3 |
| 4 | Mauritania | 3 | -7 | 0 |
| Current Group F Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Mali | 3 | 3 | 7 |
| 2 | Gambia | 3 | 2 | 7 |
| 3 | Tunisia | 3 | 2 | 3 |
| 4 | Mauritania | 3 | -7 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mali win with a probability of 41.43%. A win for Mauritania had a probability of 30.76% and a draw had a probability of 27.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mali win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.38%) and 0-2 (7.87%). The likeliest Mauritania win was 1-0 (10.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.05%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Mauritania | Draw | Mali |
30.76% ( -0.25) | 27.81% ( -0.03) | 41.43% ( 0.27) |
| Both teams to score 47.36% ( -0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 41.67% ( 0.02) | 58.33% ( -0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.05% ( 0.01) | 78.95% ( -0.01) |
| Mauritania Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.52% ( -0.17) | 34.47% ( 0.17) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 28.81% ( -0.19) | 71.19% ( 0.19) |
| Mali Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.28% ( 0.16) | 27.71% ( -0.16) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 36.72% ( 0.2) | 63.28% ( -0.2) |
| Score Analysis |
| Mauritania | Draw | Mali |
| 1-0 @ 10.17% ( -0.06) 2-1 @ 6.95% ( -0.04)2-0 @ 5.42% ( -0.05)3-1 @ 2.47% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 1.92% ( -0.03)3-2 @ 1.58% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.24% Total : 30.76% | 1-1 @ 13.05% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 9.55% ( -0.01)2-2 @ 4.46% ( -0)Other @ 0.74% Total : 27.8% | 0-1 @ 12.26% ( 0.05) 1-2 @ 8.38% ( 0.03)0-2 @ 7.87% ( 0.06)1-3 @ 3.58% ( 0.03)0-3 @ 3.37% ( 0.04)2-3 @ 1.91% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 1.15% ( 0.01)0-4 @ 1.08% ( 0.02)Other @ 1.84% Total : 41.43% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Arsenal | 28 | 22 | 3 | 3 | 66 | 26 | 40 | 69 |
| 2 | Manchester CityMan City | 27 | 19 | 4 | 4 | 67 | 25 | 42 | 61 |
| 3 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 26 | 15 | 5 | 6 | 41 | 35 | 6 | 50 |
| 4 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 28 | 15 | 4 | 9 | 52 | 40 | 12 | 49 |
| 5 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 26 | 12 | 11 | 3 | 39 | 19 | 20 | 47 |
| 6 | Liverpool | 26 | 12 | 6 | 8 | 47 | 29 | 18 | 42 |
| 7 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 25 | 12 | 6 | 7 | 46 | 31 | 15 | 42 |
| 8 | Brentford | 27 | 10 | 12 | 5 | 43 | 34 | 9 | 42 |
| 9 | Fulham | 27 | 11 | 6 | 10 | 38 | 37 | 1 | 39 |
| 10 | Chelsea | 27 | 10 | 8 | 9 | 29 | 28 | 1 | 38 |
| 11 | Aston Villa | 27 | 11 | 5 | 11 | 35 | 39 | -4 | 38 |
| 12 | Crystal Palace | 28 | 6 | 9 | 13 | 22 | 38 | -16 | 27 |
| 13 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 28 | 7 | 6 | 15 | 22 | 41 | -19 | 27 |
| 14 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 27 | 6 | 8 | 13 | 35 | 44 | -9 | 26 |
| 15 | Everton | 28 | 6 | 8 | 14 | 22 | 40 | -18 | 26 |
| 16 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 27 | 6 | 8 | 13 | 22 | 49 | -27 | 26 |
| 17 | Leicester CityLeicester | 27 | 7 | 4 | 16 | 38 | 47 | -9 | 25 |
| 18 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 26 | 6 | 6 | 14 | 24 | 34 | -10 | 24 |
| 19 | Bournemouth | 27 | 6 | 6 | 15 | 25 | 54 | -29 | 24 |
| 20 | Southampton | 28 | 6 | 5 | 17 | 23 | 46 | -23 | 23 |
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