Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Western Sydney Wanderers win with a probability of 44.89%. A win for Melbourne Victory had a probability of 30.38% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Western Sydney Wanderers win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.2%) and 2-0 (7.31%). The likeliest Melbourne Victory win was 0-1 (7.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.63%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Western Sydney Wanderers would win this match.
