Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a KuPS win with a probability of 48.7%. A draw had a probability of 27% and a win for Ilves had a probability of 24.25%.
The most likely scoreline for a KuPS win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.77%) and 2-1 (8.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.59%), while for a Ilves win it was 0-1 (8.9%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood.
