Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a SJK win with a probability of 37.46%. A win for IFK Mariehamn had a probability of 35.49% and a draw had a probability of 27%.
The most likely scoreline for a SJK win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.13%) and 0-2 (6.64%). The likeliest IFK Mariehamn win was 1-0 (10.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.84%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that SJK would win this match.
