Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a HJK Helsinki win with a probability of 43.74%. A win for SJK had a probability of 28.24% and a draw had a probability of 28%.
The most likely scoreline for a HJK Helsinki win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.6%) and 2-1 (8.47%). The likeliest SJK win was 0-1 (10.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.03%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood.
