SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a NAC Breda win with a probability of 48.63%. A win for Emmen had a probability of 27.58% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a NAC Breda win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9%) and 2-0 (7.71%). The likeliest Emmen win was 1-2 (6.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.09%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Emmen in this match.
| Result | ||
| NAC Breda | Draw | Emmen |
48.63% ( -0.44) | 23.79% ( 0.24) | 27.58% ( 0.2) |
| Both teams to score 58.09% ( -0.68) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.46% ( -0.97) | 43.53% ( 0.98) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.07% ( -0.96) | 65.93% ( 0.97) |
| NAC Breda Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.96% ( -0.54) | 18.04% ( 0.54) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 51.07% ( -0.94) | 48.93% ( 0.94) |
| Emmen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.87% ( -0.36) | 29.13% ( 0.36) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 34.95% ( -0.45) | 65.05% ( 0.45) |
| Score Analysis |
| NAC Breda | Draw | Emmen |
| 2-1 @ 9.51% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 9% ( 0.23)2-0 @ 7.71% ( 0.06)3-1 @ 5.43% ( -0.11)3-0 @ 4.4% ( -0.04)3-2 @ 3.35% ( -0.1)4-1 @ 2.32% ( -0.09)4-0 @ 1.88% ( -0.05)4-2 @ 1.43% ( -0.07)Other @ 3.61% Total : 48.63% | 1-1 @ 11.09% ( 0.16) 2-2 @ 5.86% ( -0.07)0-0 @ 5.25% ( 0.22)3-3 @ 1.38% ( -0.06)Other @ 0.2% Total : 23.78% | 1-2 @ 6.85% ( 0.04) 0-1 @ 6.48% ( 0.21)0-2 @ 4% ( 0.09)1-3 @ 2.82% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 2.41% ( -0.06)0-3 @ 1.64% ( 0.02)Other @ 3.39% Total : 27.58% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Manchester CityMan City | 38 | 28 | 5 | 5 | 94 | 33 | 61 | 89 |
| 2 | Arsenal | 38 | 26 | 6 | 6 | 88 | 43 | 45 | 84 |
| 3 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 38 | 23 | 6 | 9 | 58 | 43 | 15 | 75 |
| 4 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 38 | 19 | 14 | 5 | 68 | 33 | 35 | 71 |
| 5 | Liverpool | 38 | 19 | 10 | 9 | 75 | 47 | 28 | 67 |
| 6 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 38 | 18 | 8 | 12 | 72 | 53 | 19 | 62 |
| 7 | Aston Villa | 38 | 18 | 7 | 13 | 51 | 46 | 5 | 61 |
| 8 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 38 | 18 | 6 | 14 | 70 | 63 | 7 | 60 |
| 9 | Brentford | 38 | 15 | 14 | 9 | 58 | 46 | 12 | 59 |
| 10 | Fulham | 38 | 15 | 7 | 16 | 55 | 53 | 2 | 52 |
| 11 | Crystal Palace | 38 | 11 | 12 | 15 | 40 | 49 | -9 | 45 |
| 12 | Chelsea | 38 | 11 | 11 | 16 | 38 | 47 | -9 | 44 |
| 13 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 38 | 11 | 8 | 19 | 31 | 58 | -27 | 41 |
| 14 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 38 | 11 | 7 | 20 | 42 | 55 | -13 | 40 |
| 15 | Bournemouth | 38 | 11 | 6 | 21 | 37 | 71 | -34 | 39 |
| 16 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 38 | 9 | 11 | 18 | 38 | 68 | -30 | 38 |
| 17 | Everton | 38 | 8 | 12 | 18 | 34 | 57 | -23 | 36 |
| R | Leicester CityLeicester | 38 | 9 | 7 | 22 | 51 | 68 | -17 | 34 |
| R | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 38 | 7 | 10 | 21 | 48 | 78 | -30 | 31 |
| R | Southampton | 38 | 6 | 7 | 25 | 36 | 73 | -37 | 25 |
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