Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nuremberg win with a probability of 42.56%. A win for SV Sandhausen had a probability of 30.8% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nuremberg win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.75%) and 0-2 (7.71%). The likeliest SV Sandhausen win was 1-0 (9.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.65%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Nuremberg would win this match.
