Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a SV Darmstadt 98 win with a probability of 43.53%. A win for Nuremberg had a probability of 30.64% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a SV Darmstadt 98 win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.98%) and 2-0 (7.59%). The likeliest Nuremberg win was 0-1 (8.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.28%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that SV Darmstadt 98 would win this match.
