Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a SC Paderborn win with a probability of 41.96%. A win for Holstein Kiel had a probability of 34.61% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a SC Paderborn win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.98%) and 0-2 (5.84%). The likeliest Holstein Kiel win was 2-1 (7.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.48%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood.
-1.6) 
1.76) 
