SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Holstein Kiel win with a probability of 44.27%. A win for Magdeburg had a probability of 32.72% and a draw had a probability of 23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Holstein Kiel win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.84%) and 2-0 (6.02%). The likeliest Magdeburg win was 1-2 (7.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.17%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Holstein Kiel | Draw | Magdeburg |
44.27% ( 0.2) | 23.01% ( 0.06) | 32.72% ( -0.26) |
| Both teams to score 64.09% ( -0.34) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 62.99% ( -0.4) | 37.01% ( 0.4) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 40.81% ( -0.43) | 59.19% ( 0.43) |
| Holstein Kiel Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.8% ( -0.08) | 17.2% ( 0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 52.52% ( -0.14) | 47.48% ( 0.14) |
| Magdeburg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.4% ( -0.33) | 22.6% ( 0.33) |
