SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Pauli win with a probability of 55.92%. A win for Greuther Furth had a probability of 22.68% and a draw had a probability of 21.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a St Pauli win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.98%) and 0-1 (7.88%). The likeliest Greuther Furth win was 2-1 (5.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.63%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Greuther Furth | Draw | St Pauli |
22.68% ( -0.39) | 21.39% ( -0.19) | 55.92% ( 0.57) |
| Both teams to score 61.2% ( 0.16) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 62.94% ( 0.44) | 37.05% ( -0.44) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 40.75% ( 0.47) | 59.25% ( -0.47) |
| Greuther Furth Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.52% ( -0.08) | 29.47% ( 0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 34.52% ( -0.09) | 65.48% ( 0.09) |
| St Pauli Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.78% ( 0.32) | 13.22% ( -0.32) |
