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Friday, September 23

We said: United Arab Emirates 2-0 Syria

Even with a proven goalscorer in Khribin leading the charge, Syria's already slim hopes of reaching Qatar 2022 will surely be dashed on Thursday as the UAE aim to keep their World Cup dreams alive. Marwijk's men have their destiny in their own hands with regards to a top-three finish and will expect to march to another win over their lowly visitors with minimal fuss. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a United Arab Emirates win with a probability of 50.02%. A win for Syria had a probability of 25.89% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a United Arab Emirates win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.6%) and 2-0 (8.37%). The likeliest Syria win was 0-1 (6.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.37%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-0 win for United Arab Emirates in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for United Arab Emirates.

Result
United Arab EmiratesDrawSyria
50.02%24.08%25.89%
Both teams to score 55.6%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.87%46.13%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.57%68.43%
United Arab Emirates Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.5%18.49%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.29%49.7%
Syria Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.22%31.77%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.79%68.2%
Score Analysis
    United Arab Emirates 50.02%
    Syria 25.89%
    Draw 24.08%
United Arab EmiratesDrawSyria
1-0 @ 9.92%
2-1 @ 9.6%
2-0 @ 8.37%
3-1 @ 5.4%
3-0 @ 4.71%
3-2 @ 3.1%
4-1 @ 2.28%
4-0 @ 1.99%
4-2 @ 1.31%
Other @ 3.37%
Total : 50.02%
1-1 @ 11.37%
0-0 @ 5.88%
2-2 @ 5.5%
3-3 @ 1.18%
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 24.08%
0-1 @ 6.74%
1-2 @ 6.52%
0-2 @ 3.86%
1-3 @ 2.49%
2-3 @ 2.1%
0-3 @ 1.48%
Other @ 2.71%
Total : 25.89%

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