SM
| Current Group F Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Saudi Arabia | 3 | 3 | 7 |
| 2 | Thailand | 3 | 2 | 5 |
| 3 | Oman | 3 | -1 | 2 |
| 4 | Kyrgyzstan | 3 | -4 | 1 |
| Current Group E Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Bahrain | 3 | 0 | 6 |
| 2 | South Korea | 3 | 2 | 5 |
| 3 | Jordan | 3 | 3 | 4 |
| 4 | Malaysia | 3 | -5 | 1 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a South Korea win with a probability of 53.48%. A win for Thailand had a probability of 23.67% and a draw had a probability of 22.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a South Korea win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.3%) and 0-2 (8.53%). The likeliest Thailand win was 2-1 (6.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.66%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that South Korea would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Thailand | Draw | South Korea |
23.67% ( -0.3) | 22.85% ( -0.07) | 53.48% ( 0.38) |
| Both teams to score 57.36% ( -0.12) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.3% ( 0.01) | 42.7% ( -0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.9% ( 0.01) | 65.1% ( -0.01) |
| Thailand Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.25% ( -0.25) | 31.75% ( 0.25) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 31.82% ( -0.29) | 68.18% ( 0.29) |
| South Korea Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.05% ( 0.13) | 15.95% ( -0.13) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 54.77% ( 0.25) | 45.22% ( -0.24) |
| Score Analysis |
| Thailand | Draw | South Korea |
| 2-1 @ 6.12% ( -0.06) 1-0 @ 5.81% ( -0.04)2-0 @ 3.33% ( -0.05)3-1 @ 2.34% ( -0.04)3-2 @ 2.15% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 1.27% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.65% Total : 23.67% | 1-1 @ 10.66% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 5.62% ( -0.03)0-0 @ 5.06% ( -0)3-3 @ 1.31% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.19% Total : 22.84% | 1-2 @ 9.79% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 9.3% ( 0.04)0-2 @ 8.53% ( 0.07)1-3 @ 5.99% ( 0.04)0-3 @ 5.22% ( 0.07)2-3 @ 3.44% ( -0)1-4 @ 2.75% ( 0.03)0-4 @ 2.4% ( 0.04)2-4 @ 1.58% ( 0.01)1-5 @ 1.01% ( 0.02)Other @ 3.48% Total : 53.48% |
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