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World Cup Qualifying - Africa | Group Stage
Mar 23, 2025 at 1pm UK
Mbombela Stadium
MN

Eswatini
3 - 3
Mauritius

Mkhontfo (13', 18'), Mabuza (75')
Dlamini (22'), Mamba (57')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Rose (47'), Aristide (50'), Vincent (90+1')
Rose (15'), Latouchent (55')
Coverage of the World Cup Qualifying - Africa Group Stage clash between Eswatini and Mauritius.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Eswatini 0-0 Cameroon
Wednesday, March 19 at 4pm in World Cup Qualifying - Africa
Last Game: Cape Verde 1-0 Mauritius
Thursday, March 20 at 4pm in World Cup Qualifying - Africa

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Eswatini win with a probability of 46.34%. A draw had a probability of 28.9% and a win for Mauritius had a probability of 24.75%.

The most likely scoreline for a Eswatini win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.73%) and 2-1 (8.23%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.94%), while for a Mauritius win it was 0-1 (10.17%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood.

Result
EswatiniDrawMauritius
46.34% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04) 28.9% (0.015999999999998 0.02) 24.75% (0.022000000000002 0.02)
Both teams to score 41.08% (-0.018999999999998 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
35.51% (-0.031999999999996 -0.03)64.49% (0.031999999999996 0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
16.47% (-0.023999999999997 -0.02)83.53% (0.022999999999996 0.02)
Eswatini Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.96% (-0.034000000000006 -0.03)28.04% (0.033999999999999 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.31% (-0.043999999999997 -0.04)63.69% (0.042999999999999 0.04)
Mauritius Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57.08% (0.00099999999999767 0)42.92%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.78%79.22%
Score Analysis
    Eswatini 46.34%
    Mauritius 24.75%
    Draw 28.9%
EswatiniDrawMauritius
1-0 @ 15.3% (0.010000000000002 0.01)
2-0 @ 9.73% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
2-1 @ 8.23% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-0 @ 4.12% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-1 @ 3.49% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-2 @ 1.48% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
4-0 @ 1.31% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-1 @ 1.11% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 1.58%
Total : 46.34%
1-1 @ 12.94%
0-0 @ 12.03% (0.02 0.02)
2-2 @ 3.48% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
Other @ 0.45%
Total : 28.9%
0-1 @ 10.17% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-2 @ 5.47% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-2 @ 4.31% (0.0049999999999999 0)
1-3 @ 1.54% (0.0010000000000001 0)
0-3 @ 1.21% (0.002 0)
2-3 @ 0.98% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 1.06%
Total : 24.75%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Eswatini 0-0 Cameroon
Wednesday, March 19 at 4pm in World Cup Qualifying - Africa
Last Game: Mali 6-0 Eswatini
Tuesday, November 19 at 4pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last Game: Eswatini 1-1 Guinea-Bissau
Friday, November 15 at 4pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last Game: Eswatini 0-3 Mozambique
Monday, October 14 at 8pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last Game: Mozambique 1-1 Eswatini
Friday, October 11 at 2pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last Game: Eswatini 0-1 Mali
Tuesday, September 10 at 2pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last Game: Cape Verde 1-0 Mauritius
Thursday, March 20 at 4pm in World Cup Qualifying - Africa
Last Game: Hong Kong 1-0 Mauritius
Tuesday, November 19 at 12pm in International Friendlies
Last Game: Mauritius 0-2 Syria
Friday, September 6 at 1am in International Friendlies
Last Game: Mauritius 2-1 Eswatini
Tuesday, June 11 at 2pm in World Cup Qualifying - Africa
Last Game: Libya 2-1 Mauritius
Thursday, June 6 at 5pm in World Cup Qualifying - Africa
Last Game: Mauritius 1-2 Chad
Tuesday, March 26 at 3pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying


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