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Mar 29, 2022 at 7.45pm UK at National Stadium
Poland
2 - 0
Sweden
Lewandowski (49' pen.), Zielinski (72')
Goralski (38'), Moder (52'), Lewandowski (77'), Bielik (81')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Isak (81'), Kulusevski (90+2')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Six:
Last Game: Belgium 6-1 Poland
Wednesday, June 8 at 7.45pm in Nations League
Next Game: Netherlands vs. Poland
Saturday, June 11 at 7.45pm in Nations League
Last Six:
Last Game: Sweden 1-2 Norway
Sunday, June 5 at 7.45pm in Nations League
Next Game: Sweden vs. Serbia
Thursday, June 9 at 7.45pm in Nations League

We said: Poland 1-2 Sweden

Sweden appear to have Poland's number given recent results, and the returns of two seasoned goalscorers in Lewandowski and Ibrahimovic certainly makes this encounter one to watch. While Andersson's side left it all out on the pitch on Thursday, Poland's encounter with Scotland was not exactly relaxing, and given Sweden's attacking options in reserve, we are backing the Blue and Yellow to spoil the Polish party and advance to the finals. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Poland win with a probability of 45.34%. A win for Sweden had a probability of 31.53% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Poland win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.22%) and 2-0 (6.35%). The likeliest Sweden win was 1-2 (7.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.35%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Poland would win this match.

Result
PolandDrawSweden
45.34%23.14%31.53%
Both teams to score 63.06%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.88%38.12%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.61%60.39%
Poland Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.78%17.22%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.49%47.51%
Sweden Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.18%23.82%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.01%57.99%
Score Analysis
    Poland 45.34%
    Sweden 31.53%
    Draw 23.13%
PolandDrawSweden
2-1 @ 9.1%
1-0 @ 7.22%
2-0 @ 6.35%
3-1 @ 5.34%
3-2 @ 3.83%
3-0 @ 3.72%
4-1 @ 2.35%
4-2 @ 1.68%
4-0 @ 1.64%
Other @ 4.12%
Total : 45.34%
1-1 @ 10.35%
2-2 @ 6.53%
0-0 @ 4.1%
3-3 @ 1.83%
Other @ 0.32%
Total : 23.13%
1-2 @ 7.43%
0-1 @ 5.89%
0-2 @ 4.22%
1-3 @ 3.55%
2-3 @ 3.12%
0-3 @ 2.02%
1-4 @ 1.27%
2-4 @ 1.12%
Other @ 2.91%
Total : 31.53%

Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Scotland 1-1 Poland
Thursday, March 24 at 7.45pm in International Friendlies
Last Game: Poland 1-2 Hungary
Monday, November 15 at 7.45pm in World Cup Qualifying - Europe
Last Game: Andorra 1-4 Poland
Friday, November 12 at 7.45pm in World Cup Qualifying - Europe
Last Game: Albania 0-1 Poland
Tuesday, October 12 at 7.45pm in World Cup Qualifying - Europe
Last Game: Poland 5-0 San Marino
Saturday, October 9 at 7.45pm in World Cup Qualifying - Europe
Last Game: Poland 1-1 England
Wednesday, September 8 at 7.45pm in World Cup Qualifying - Europe
Last Game: Sweden 1-0 Czech Republic
Thursday, March 24 at 7.45pm in World Cup Qualifying - Europe
Last Game: Spain 1-0 Sweden
Sunday, November 14 at 7.45pm in World Cup Qualifying - Europe
Last Game: Georgia 2-0 Sweden
Thursday, November 11 at 5pm in World Cup Qualifying - Europe
Last Game: Sweden 2-0 Greece
Tuesday, October 12 at 7.45pm in World Cup Qualifying - Europe
Last Game: Sweden 3-0 Kosovo
Saturday, October 9 at 5pm in World Cup Qualifying - Europe
Last Game: Greece 2-1 Sweden
Wednesday, September 8 at 7.45pm in World Cup Qualifying - Europe
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