Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paraguay win with a probability of 36.18%. A win for Peru had a probability of 35.37% and a draw had a probability of 28.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Paraguay win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.65%) and 2-0 (6.74%). The likeliest Peru win was 0-1 (11.52%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.27%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood.
