SM
| Current Group B Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Ghana | 3 | 4 | 7 |
| 2 | Mali | 3 | 0 | 4 |
| 3 | Congo DR | 3 | 0 | 3 |
| 4 | Niger | 3 | -4 | 1 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Zambia win with a probability of 50.26%. A draw had a probability of 28.1% and a win for Niger had a probability of 21.61%.
The most likely scoreline for a Zambia win was 0-1 with a probability of 16.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.83%) and 1-2 (8.43%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.51%), while for a Niger win it was 1-0 (9.28%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Niger | Draw | Zambia |
21.61% ( -0.16) | 28.13% ( -0.02) | 50.26% ( 0.18) |
| Both teams to score 40.03% ( -0.11) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 35.74% ( -0.04) | 64.26% ( 0.05) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 16.63% ( -0.03) | 83.37% ( 0.03) |
| Niger Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 54.07% ( -0.19) | 45.93% ( 0.2) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 18.34% ( -0.15) | 81.66% ( 0.15) |
| Zambia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.02% ( 0.07) | 25.98% ( -0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39% ( 0.09) | 61% ( -0.09) |
| Score Analysis |
| Niger | Draw | Zambia |
| 1-0 @ 9.28% ( -0.04) 2-1 @ 4.87% ( -0.04)2-0 @ 3.61% ( -0.03)3-1 @ 1.26% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 0.94% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.64% Total : 21.61% | 1-1 @ 12.51% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 11.93% ( 0.02)2-2 @ 3.28% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.41% Total : 28.13% | 0-1 @ 16.08% ( 0.06) 0-2 @ 10.83% ( 0.06)1-2 @ 8.43% 0-3 @ 4.87% ( 0.04)1-3 @ 3.79% ( 0.01)0-4 @ 1.64% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 1.47% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 1.28% ( 0)Other @ 1.85% Total : 50.25% |
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