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World Cup Qualifying - Oceania | Semi-Finals
Mar 21, 2025 at 6.10am UK
Sky Stadium
FN

New Zealand
7 - 0
Fiji

Wood (6', 56', 60'), Singh (16'), Bindon (23'), Payne (32'), Barbarouses (73')
FT(HT: 4-0)

Moceituba Dogalau (47')
Coverage of the World Cup Qualifying - Oceania Semi-Finals clash between New Zealand and Fiji.

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
World Cup Qualifying
Last Game: Samoa 0-8 New Zealand
Monday, November 18 at 6.30am in World Cup Qualifying - Oceania
Last Game: Solomon Islands 1-3 Fiji
Saturday, December 21 at 7am in International Friendlies

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a New Zealand win with a probability of 76.16%. A draw has a probability of 15.6% and a win for Fiji has a probability of 8.26%.

The most likely scoreline for a New Zealand win is 2-0 with a probability of 13.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (11.29%) and 3-0 (10.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (7.4%), while for a Fiji win it is 0-1 (3.08%).

Result
New ZealandDrawFiji
76.16% (3.044 3.04) 15.57% (-1.706 -1.71) 8.26% (-1.34 -1.34)
Both teams to score 43.7% (0.12 0.12)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.94% (3.398 3.4)41.05% (-3.402 -3.4)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.55% (3.378 3.38)63.45% (-3.381 -3.38)
New Zealand Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.94% (1.623 1.62)9.05% (-1.626 -1.63)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
69.2% (3.766 3.77)30.8% (-3.769 -3.77)
Fiji Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
48.05% (-0.74 -0.74)51.94% (0.736 0.74)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
14.03% (-0.49 -0.49)85.97% (0.488 0.49)
Score Analysis
    New Zealand 76.15%
    Fiji 8.26%
    Draw 15.57%
New ZealandDrawFiji
2-0 @ 13.56% (-0.12 -0.12)
1-0 @ 11.29% (-0.94 -0.94)
3-0 @ 10.86% (0.66 0.66)
2-1 @ 8.89% (-0.271 -0.27)
3-1 @ 7.12% (0.288 0.29)
4-0 @ 6.52% (0.819 0.82)
4-1 @ 4.27% (0.454 0.45)
5-0 @ 3.13% (0.582 0.58)
3-2 @ 2.33% (0.045 0.04)
5-1 @ 2.05% (0.345 0.35)
4-2 @ 1.4% (0.121 0.12)
6-0 @ 1.26% (0.304 0.3)
Other @ 3.47%
Total : 76.15%
1-1 @ 7.4% (-0.788 -0.79)
0-0 @ 4.7% (-0.766 -0.77)
2-2 @ 2.91% (-0.154 -0.15)
Other @ 0.56%
Total : 15.57%
0-1 @ 3.08% (-0.58 -0.58)
1-2 @ 2.42% (-0.317 -0.32)
0-2 @ 1.01% (-0.216 -0.22)
Other @ 1.75%
Total : 8.26%

Read more!
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Form Guide
Last Game: Samoa 0-8 New Zealand
Monday, November 18 at 6.30am in World Cup Qualifying - Oceania
Last Game: New Zealand 8-1 Vanuatu
Friday, November 15 at 6.30am in World Cup Qualifying - Oceania
Last Game: New Zealand 4-0 Malaysia
Monday, October 14 at 7am in International Friendlies
Last Game: New Zealand 3-0 Tahiti
Friday, October 11 at 3am in World Cup Qualifying - Oceania
Last Game: USA 1-1 New Zealand
Wednesday, September 11 at 12am in International Friendlies
Last Game: Mexico 3-0 New Zealand
Sunday, September 8 at 2am in International Friendlies
Last Game: Solomon Islands 1-3 Fiji
Saturday, December 21 at 7am in International Friendlies
Last Game: Fiji 1-1 New Caledonia
Sunday, November 17 at 3am in World Cup Qualifying - Oceania
Last Game: P. New Guinea 3-3 Fiji
Thursday, November 14 at 6am in World Cup Qualifying - Oceania
Last Game: Solomon Islands 0-1 Fiji
Thursday, October 10 at 8am in World Cup Qualifying - Oceania
Last Game: Hong Kong 1-1 Fiji
Sunday, September 8 at 4am in International Friendlies
Last Game: Fiji 1-0 Solomon Islands
Monday, September 2 at 8am in International Friendlies


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