SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Japan win with a probability of 85.59%. A draw had a probability of 9.7% and a win for Myanmar had a probability of 4.69%.
The most likely scoreline for a Japan win was 0-3 with a probability of 11.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.79%) and 0-4 (9.09%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.53%), while for a Myanmar win it was 2-1 (1.51%). The actual scoreline of 0-5 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Japan would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Myanmar | Draw | Japan |
4.69% ( 0.67) | 9.71% ( 0.67) | 85.59% ( -1.33) |
| Both teams to score 46.65% ( 2.75) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 73.85% ( 0.21) | 26.15% ( -0.21) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 53.59% ( 0.27) | 46.41% ( -0.27) |
| Myanmar Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 48.68% ( 2.95) | 51.32% ( -2.95) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 14.44% ( 1.89) | 85.56% ( -1.88) |
| Japan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 95.84% ( -0.17) | 4.16% ( 0.17) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 82.61% ( -0.55) | 17.39% ( 0.56) |
| Score Analysis |
| Myanmar | Draw | Japan |
| 2-1 @ 1.51% ( 0.21) 1-0 @ 1.43% ( 0.1)Other @ 1.76% Total : 4.69% | 1-1 @ 4.53% ( 0.27) 2-2 @ 2.4% ( 0.3)0-0 @ 2.14% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.65% Total : 9.71% | 0-3 @ 11.44% ( -0.62) 0-2 @ 10.79% ( -0.44)0-4 @ 9.09% ( -0.63)1-3 @ 7.63% ( 0.26)1-2 @ 7.2% ( 0.34)0-1 @ 6.79% ( -0.18)1-4 @ 6.07% ( 0.13)0-5 @ 5.78% ( -0.48)1-5 @ 3.86% ( 0.03)0-6 @ 3.06% ( -0.3)2-3 @ 2.55% ( 0.29)1-6 @ 2.04% ( -0.01)2-4 @ 2.02% ( 0.21)0-7 @ 1.39% ( -0.16)2-5 @ 1.29% ( 0.12)1-7 @ 0.93% ( -0.02)Other @ 3.66% Total : 85.59% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
