SM
| Current Third Round Group B Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | South Korea | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Iraq | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Jordan | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Oman | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5 | Kuwait | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 6 | Palestine | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Current Third Round Group B Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | South Korea | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Iraq | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Jordan | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Oman | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5 | Kuwait | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 6 | Palestine | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Iraq win with a probability of 54.39%. A draw had a probability of 25.4% and a win for Palestine had a probability of 20.24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Iraq win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.99%) and 2-1 (9.31%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.86%), while for a Palestine win it was 0-1 (7.56%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Iraq | Draw | Palestine |
54.39% ( -9.33) | 25.37% ( 2.94) | 20.24% ( 6.39) |
| Both teams to score 45.21% ( 3.82) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.43% ( -1.5) | 56.57% ( 1.5) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.45% ( -1.22) | 77.55% ( 1.22) |
| Iraq Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.17% ( -4.06) | 20.83% ( 4.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.5% ( -6.79) | 53.5% ( 6.78) |
| Palestine Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 57.11% ( 7.37) | 42.89% ( -7.38) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 20.8% ( 5.64) | 79.2% ( -5.65) |
| Score Analysis |
| Iraq | Draw | Palestine |
| 1-0 @ 14.01% ( -1.04) 2-0 @ 10.99% ( -2.44)2-1 @ 9.31% ( 0.06)3-0 @ 5.75% ( -2.25)3-1 @ 4.87% ( -0.63)4-0 @ 2.26% ( -1.31)3-2 @ 2.06% ( 0.17)4-1 @ 1.91% ( -0.55)Other @ 3.23% Total : 54.38% | 1-1 @ 11.86% ( 1.51) 0-0 @ 8.93% ( 0.5)2-2 @ 3.94% ( 0.76)Other @ 0.63% Total : 25.36% | 0-1 @ 7.56% ( 1.76) 1-2 @ 5.02% ( 1.46)0-2 @ 3.2% ( 1.21)1-3 @ 1.42% ( 0.6)2-3 @ 1.11% ( 0.38)0-3 @ 0.9% ( 0.45)Other @ 1.03% Total : 20.24% |
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