Current Group D Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
1 | Iraq | 3 | 4 | 9 |
2 | Japan | 3 | 3 | 6 |
3 | Indonesia | 3 | -3 | 3 |
4 | Vietnam | 3 | -4 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Indonesia win with a probability of 42.91%. A win for Vietnam had a probability of 32.38% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Indonesia win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.77%) and 2-0 (6.82%). The likeliest Vietnam win was 1-2 (7.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.57%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Indonesia would win this match.
Result | ||
Indonesia | Draw | Vietnam |
42.91% (![]() | 24.71% (![]() | 32.38% (![]() |
Both teams to score 57.81% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
54.83% (![]() | 45.17% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
32.48% (![]() | 67.51% (![]() |
Indonesia Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.89% (![]() | 21.11% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
46.05% (![]() | 53.94% (![]() |
Vietnam Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.28% (![]() | 26.72% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.02% (![]() | 61.98% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Indonesia | Draw | Vietnam |
2-1 @ 9.01% (![]() 1-0 @ 8.77% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 6.82% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 4.67% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 3.54% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 3.08% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 1.82% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 1.38% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 1.2% ( ![]() Other @ 2.64% Total : 42.91% | 1-1 @ 11.57% (![]() 2-2 @ 5.94% ( ![]() 0-0 @ 5.64% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.36% ( ![]() Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.7% | 1-2 @ 7.64% (![]() 0-1 @ 7.44% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 4.91% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 3.36% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 2.62% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 2.16% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 1.11% ( ![]() Other @ 3.13% Total : 32.38% |
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