SM
| Current Group B Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | England | 1 | 4 | 3 |
| 2 | Wales | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| 3 | USA | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| 4 | Iran | 1 | -4 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a England win with a probability of 44.11%. A win for USA had a probability of 30.01% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a England win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.02%) and 2-0 (7.76%). The likeliest USA win was 0-1 (8.4%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.3%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| England | Draw | USA |
44.11% ( 1.04) | 25.88% ( -0.72) | 30.01% ( -0.32) |
| Both teams to score 52.82% ( 2.09) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.81% ( 2.77) | 51.18% ( -2.77) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.97% ( 2.37) | 73.02% ( -2.38) |
| England Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.88% ( 1.73) | 23.11% ( -1.73) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 43.03% ( 2.47) | 56.96% ( -2.47) |
| USA Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.69% ( 1.19) | 31.3% ( -1.2) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 32.34% ( 1.37) | 67.66% ( -1.37) |
| Score Analysis |
| England | Draw | USA |
| 1-0 @ 10.59% ( -0.65) 2-1 @ 9.02% ( 0.22)2-0 @ 7.76% ( -0.07)3-1 @ 4.4% ( 0.32)3-0 @ 3.79% ( 0.16)3-2 @ 2.56% ( 0.26)4-1 @ 1.61% ( 0.19)4-0 @ 1.39% ( 0.12)4-2 @ 0.94% ( 0.14)Other @ 2.05% Total : 44.1% | 1-1 @ 12.3% ( -0.33) 0-0 @ 7.23% ( -0.84)2-2 @ 5.24% ( 0.29)3-3 @ 0.99% ( 0.13)Other @ 0.11% Total : 25.87% | 0-1 @ 8.4% ( -0.67) 1-2 @ 7.15% ( 0.05)0-2 @ 4.88% ( -0.22)1-3 @ 2.77% ( 0.11)2-3 @ 2.03% ( 0.17)0-3 @ 1.89% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.9% Total : 30.01% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Arsenal | 28 | 22 | 3 | 3 | 66 | 26 | 40 | 69 |
| 2 | Manchester CityMan City | 27 | 19 | 4 | 4 | 67 | 25 | 42 | 61 |
| 3 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 26 | 15 | 5 | 6 | 41 | 35 | 6 | 50 |
| 4 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 28 | 15 | 4 | 9 | 52 | 40 | 12 | 49 |
| 5 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 26 | 12 | 11 | 3 | 39 | 19 | 20 | 47 |
| 6 | Liverpool | 26 | 12 | 6 | 8 | 47 | 29 | 18 | 42 |
| 7 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 25 | 12 | 6 | 7 | 46 | 31 | 15 | 42 |
| 8 | Brentford | 27 | 10 | 12 | 5 | 43 | 34 | 9 | 42 |
| 9 | Fulham | 27 | 11 | 6 | 10 | 38 | 37 | 1 | 39 |
| 10 | Chelsea | 27 | 10 | 8 | 9 | 29 | 28 | 1 | 38 |
| 11 | Aston Villa | 27 | 11 | 5 | 11 | 35 | 39 | -4 | 38 |
| 12 | Crystal Palace | 28 | 6 | 9 | 13 | 22 | 38 | -16 | 27 |
| 13 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 28 | 7 | 6 | 15 | 22 | 41 | -19 | 27 |
| 14 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 27 | 6 | 8 | 13 | 35 | 44 | -9 | 26 |
| 15 | Everton | 28 | 6 | 8 | 14 | 22 | 40 | -18 | 26 |
| 16 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 27 | 6 | 8 | 13 | 22 | 49 | -27 | 26 |
| 17 | Leicester CityLeicester | 27 | 7 | 4 | 16 | 38 | 47 | -9 | 25 |
| 18 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 26 | 6 | 6 | 14 | 24 | 34 | -10 | 24 |
| 19 | Bournemouth | 27 | 6 | 6 | 15 | 25 | 54 | -29 | 24 |
| 20 | Southampton | 28 | 6 | 5 | 17 | 23 | 46 | -23 | 23 |
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