Coverage of the World Cup Qualifying - South America Group Stage clash between Ecuador and Uruguay.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Uruguay win with a probability of 44.2%. A win for Ecuador had a probability of 28.71% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Uruguay win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.77%) and 0-2 (8.36%). The likeliest Ecuador win was 1-0 (9.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.79%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood.
