SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chile win with a probability of 65.34%. A draw had a probability of 21.6% and a win for Peru had a probability of 13.04%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chile win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.63%) and 2-1 (9.27%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.02%), while for a Peru win it was 0-1 (5.42%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 13.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Chile would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Chile | Draw | Peru |
65.34% ( -0.85) | 21.62% ( 0.29) | 13.04% ( 0.56) |
| Both teams to score 41.56% ( 0.7) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.36% ( 0.08) | 53.64% ( -0.07) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.86% ( 0.07) | 75.13% ( -0.06) |
| Chile Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.26% ( -0.25) | 15.73% ( 0.26) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 55.17% ( -0.47) | 44.83% ( 0.47) |
| Peru Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 49.32% ( 0.98) | 50.67% ( -0.98) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 14.88% ( 0.66) | 85.12% ( -0.65) |
| Score Analysis |
| Chile | Draw | Peru |
| 1-0 @ 14.74% ( -0.17) 2-0 @ 13.63% ( -0.28)2-1 @ 9.27% ( 0.08)3-0 @ 8.41% ( -0.25)3-1 @ 5.71% ( -0)4-0 @ 3.89% ( -0.15)4-1 @ 2.64% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 1.94% ( 0.05)5-0 @ 1.44% ( -0.07)5-1 @ 0.98% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.69% Total : 65.33% | 1-1 @ 10.02% ( 0.16) 0-0 @ 7.97% ( -0.02)2-2 @ 3.15% ( 0.11)Other @ 0.48% Total : 21.62% | 0-1 @ 5.42% ( 0.14) 1-2 @ 3.41% ( 0.15)0-2 @ 1.84% ( 0.1)Other @ 2.37% Total : 13.04% |
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