Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oman win with a probability of 43.47%. A win for Bangladesh had a probability of 32.31% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Oman win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.25%) and 0-2 (6.66%). The likeliest Bangladesh win was 2-1 (7.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.22%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Oman would win this match.
