Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Armenia win with a probability of 41.77%. A win for North Macedonia had a probability of 30.73% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.
The most likely scoreline for an Armenia win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.49%) and 2-0 (7.85%). The likeliest North Macedonia win was 0-1 (9.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.96%). The actual scoreline of 0-5 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood.
