MX23RW : Sunday, June 18 18:29:36
SM
Nations League final: 15 mins
AN
World Cup | Final
Dec 18, 2022 at 3pm UK
Lusail Iconic Stadium
FN
Argentina
3 - 3
France
Argentina win 4-2 on penalties
Messi (23' pen., 108'), di Maria (36')
Fernandez (45+7'), Acuna (90+8'), Paredes (114'), Montiel (116'), Martinez (126')
FT
(aet)
Mbappe (80' pen., 81', 118' pen.)
Rabiot (55'), Thuram (87'), Giroud (90+5')

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
Last Game: Argentina 3-0 Croatia
Tuesday, December 13 at 7pm in World Cup
All competitions
Last Game: France 2-0 Morocco
Wednesday, December 14 at 7pm in World Cup
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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Argentina win with a probability of 37.13%. A win for France had a probability of 34.93% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.

The most likely scoreline for an Argentina win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.9%) and 2-0 (6.83%). The likeliest France win was 0-1 (10.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.14%).

Result
ArgentinaDrawFrance
37.13% (-0.944 -0.94) 27.94% (1.345 1.35) 34.93% (-0.39700000000001 -0.4)
Both teams to score 47.95% (-4.24 -4.24)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.95% (-5.306 -5.31)58.05% (5.31 5.31)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.27% (-4.352 -4.35)78.73% (4.356 4.36)
Argentina Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.94% (-3.113 -3.11)30.06% (3.116 3.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.81% (-3.906 -3.91)66.19% (3.91 3.91)
France Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.55% (-2.881 -2.88)31.45% (2.884 2.88)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.18% (-3.47 -3.47)67.83% (3.473 3.47)
Score Analysis
    Argentina 37.13%
    France 34.93%
    Draw 27.93%
ArgentinaDrawFrance
1-0 @ 11.36% (1.27 1.27)
2-1 @ 7.9% (-0.392 -0.39)
2-0 @ 6.83% (0.211 0.21)
3-1 @ 3.17% (-0.46 -0.46)
3-0 @ 2.74% (-0.157 -0.16)
3-2 @ 1.83% (-0.44 -0.44)
4-1 @ 0.95% (-0.237 -0.24)
Other @ 2.36%
Total : 37.13%
1-1 @ 13.14% (0.5 0.5)
0-0 @ 9.45% (1.756 1.76)
2-2 @ 4.57% (-0.626 -0.63)
Other @ 0.77%
Total : 27.93%
0-1 @ 10.93% (1.286 1.29)
1-2 @ 7.6% (-0.32 -0.32)
0-2 @ 6.33% (0.284 0.28)
1-3 @ 2.93% (-0.378 -0.38)
0-3 @ 2.44% (-0.084 -0.08)
2-3 @ 1.76% (-0.408 -0.41)
Other @ 2.93%
Total : 34.93%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Argentina 3-0 Croatia
Tuesday, December 13 at 7pm in World Cup
Last Game: Netherlands 2-2 Argentina (3-4 pen.)
Friday, December 9 at 7pm in World Cup
Last Game: Argentina 2-1 Australia
Saturday, December 3 at 7pm in World Cup
Last Game: Poland 0-2 Argentina
Wednesday, November 30 at 7pm in World Cup
Last Game: Argentina 2-0 Mexico
Saturday, November 26 at 7pm in World Cup
Last Game: Argentina 1-2 Saudi Arabia
Tuesday, November 22 at 10am in World Cup
Last Game: France 2-0 Morocco
Wednesday, December 14 at 7pm in World Cup
Last Game: England 1-2 France
Saturday, December 10 at 7pm in World Cup
Last Game: France 3-1 Poland
Sunday, December 4 at 3pm in World Cup
Last Game: Tunisia 1-0 France
Wednesday, November 30 at 3pm in World Cup
Last Game: France 2-1 Denmark
Saturday, November 26 at 4pm in World Cup
Last Game: France 4-1 Australia
Tuesday, November 22 at 7pm in World Cup
Build-up
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