SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Argentina win with a probability of 51.32%. A draw had a probability of 24.6% and a win for Brazil had a probability of 24.06%.
The most likely scoreline for an Argentina win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.58%) and 2-0 (9.22%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.71%), while for a Brazil win it was 0-1 (7.15%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Argentina would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Argentina | Draw | Brazil |
51.32% ( 0.66) | 24.62% ( -0.23) | 24.06% ( -0.42) |
| Both teams to score 52.04% ( 0.27) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.04% ( 0.58) | 49.96% ( -0.57) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.05% ( 0.51) | 71.95% ( -0.51) |
| Argentina Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.54% ( 0.5) | 19.46% ( -0.49) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.68% ( 0.8) | 51.31% ( -0.8) |
| Brazil Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.61% ( -0.06) | 35.39% ( 0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.85% ( -0.06) | 72.15% ( 0.07) |
| Score Analysis |
| Argentina | Draw | Brazil |
| 1-0 @ 11.27% ( -0.08) 2-1 @ 9.58% ( 0.06)2-0 @ 9.22% ( 0.07)3-1 @ 5.23% ( 0.11)3-0 @ 5.03% ( 0.11)3-2 @ 2.72% ( 0.05)4-1 @ 2.14% ( 0.08)4-0 @ 2.06% ( 0.08)4-2 @ 1.11% ( 0.04)Other @ 2.95% Total : 51.31% | 1-1 @ 11.71% ( -0.11) 0-0 @ 6.89% ( -0.16)2-2 @ 4.98% ( 0.02)3-3 @ 0.94% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.11% Total : 24.62% | 0-1 @ 7.15% ( -0.18) 1-2 @ 6.08% ( -0.07)0-2 @ 3.72% ( -0.1)1-3 @ 2.11% ( -0.03)2-3 @ 1.72% ( 0)0-3 @ 1.29% ( -0.04)Other @ 1.99% Total : 24.06% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
