SM
| Current Group A Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | England Women | 3 | 14 | 9 |
| 2 | Austria Women | 3 | 2 | 6 |
| 3 | Norway Women | 3 | -6 | 3 |
| 4 | Northern Ireland Women | 3 | -10 | 0 |
| Current Group C Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Sweden Women | 3 | 6 | 7 |
| 2 | Netherlands Women | 3 | 4 | 7 |
| 3 | Switzerland Women | 3 | -4 | 1 |
| 4 | Portugal Women | 3 | -6 | 1 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a England Women win with a probability of 41.8%. A win for Sweden Women had a probability of 34.85% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a England Women win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.85%) and 2-0 (5.76%). The likeliest Sweden Women win was 1-2 (7.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.4%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that England Women would win this match.
| Result | ||
| England Women | Draw | Sweden Women |
41.8% ( 0) | 23.34% ( -0.01) | 34.85% ( 0) |
| Both teams to score 63.57% ( 0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 62.02% ( 0.05) | 37.97% ( -0.05) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 39.76% ( 0.05) | 60.23% ( -0.06) |
| England Women Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.39% ( 0.02) | 18.6% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 50.1% ( 0.04) | 49.89% ( -0.04) |
| Sweden Women Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.1% ( 0.02) | 21.89% ( -0.03) |
