SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wolfsburg Women win with a probability of 59.93%. A draw had a probability of 22.1% and a win for Roma Women had a probability of 17.94%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wolfsburg Women win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.76%) and 2-1 (9.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.52%), while for a Roma Women win it was 0-1 (5.6%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Wolfsburg Women would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Wolfsburg Women | Draw | Roma Women |
59.93% ( 0.08) | 22.13% ( -0.03) | 17.94% ( -0.06) |
| Both teams to score 50.88% ( -0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.97% ( 0.02) | 47.03% ( -0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.73% ( 0.02) | 69.27% ( -0.02) |
| Wolfsburg Women Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.72% ( 0.03) | 15.28% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 56.01% ( 0.06) | 43.99% ( -0.06) |
| Roma Women Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.06% ( -0.05) | 39.94% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 23.4% ( -0.05) | 76.59% ( 0.05) |
| Score Analysis |
| Wolfsburg Women | Draw | Roma Women |
| 1-0 @ 11.46% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 10.76% ( 0.01)2-1 @ 9.88% 3-0 @ 6.74% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 6.19% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 3.17% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 2.91% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 2.84% ( -0)4-2 @ 1.33% ( 0)5-0 @ 1.19% ( 0.01)5-1 @ 1.09% ( 0)Other @ 2.35% Total : 59.92% | 1-1 @ 10.52% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 6.1% ( -0)2-2 @ 4.54% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.97% Total : 22.13% | 0-1 @ 5.6% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 4.83% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 2.57% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 1.48% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 1.39% ( -0)Other @ 2.07% Total : 17.94% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Manchester CityMan City | 32 | 24 | 4 | 4 | 84 | 30 | 54 | 76 |
| 2 | Arsenal | 33 | 23 | 6 | 4 | 78 | 38 | 40 | 75 |
| 3 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 33 | 18 | 11 | 4 | 61 | 27 | 34 | 65 |
| 4 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 32 | 19 | 6 | 7 | 49 | 39 | 10 | 63 |
| 5 | Liverpool | 33 | 16 | 8 | 9 | 65 | 42 | 23 | 56 |
| 6 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 34 | 16 | 6 | 12 | 63 | 57 | 6 | 54 |
| 7 | Aston Villa | 34 | 16 | 6 | 12 | 46 | 42 | 4 | 54 |
| 8 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 31 | 15 | 7 | 9 | 61 | 40 | 21 | 52 |
| 9 | Brentford | 34 | 12 | 14 | 8 | 52 | 44 | 8 | 50 |
| 10 | Fulham | 33 | 13 | 6 | 14 | 45 | 45 | 0 | 45 |
| 11 | Crystal Palace | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 35 | 45 | -10 | 40 |
| 12 | Chelsea | 32 | 10 | 9 | 13 | 30 | 35 | -5 | 39 |
| 13 | Bournemouth | 34 | 11 | 6 | 17 | 36 | 64 | -28 | 39 |
| 14 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 34 | 10 | 7 | 17 | 29 | 50 | -21 | 37 |
| 15 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 33 | 9 | 7 | 17 | 37 | 47 | -10 | 34 |
| 16 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 34 | 7 | 9 | 18 | 43 | 67 | -24 | 30 |
| 17 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 34 | 7 | 9 | 18 | 30 | 62 | -32 | 30 |
| 18 | Leicester CityLeicester | 33 | 8 | 5 | 20 | 44 | 57 | -13 | 29 |
| 19 | Everton | 33 | 6 | 10 | 17 | 25 | 50 | -25 | 28 |
| 20 | Southampton | 34 | 6 | 6 | 22 | 28 | 60 | -32 | 24 |
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