MX23RW : Tuesday, March 18 08:26:05
SM
Real Madrid vs. Arsenal: 9 hrs 18 mins
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Women's Champions League | Quarter-Finals | 1st Leg
Mar 18, 2025 at 5.45pm UK
Estadio Alfredo Di Stefano

Real Madrid
vs.
Arsenal

 

Form, Standings, Stats

:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
Last Game: Real Madrid 1-2 Chelsea
Tuesday, December 17 at 5.45pm in Women's Champions League
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
Last Game: Everton 1-3 Arsenal
Friday, March 14 at 7pm in Women's Super League

We say: Real Madrid Femenino 1-2 Arsenal Women

Real Madrid will be desperate to establish a first-leg lead ahead of next week's trip to the Emirates Stadium, but we think that they could experience disappointment when they face Arsenal on Tuesday. The Gunners won their final five group games to seal a quarter-final spot, and we think that they will pick up from where they left off in the group phase by claiming a narrow win in the Spanish capital. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Arsenal Women win with a probability of 46.09%. A win for Real Madrid Femenino has a probability of 31.51% and a draw has a probability of 22.4%.

The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal Women win is 1-2 with a probability of 8.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-1 (6.38%) and 0-2 (5.94%). The likeliest Real Madrid Femenino win is 2-1 (7.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (9.64%).

Result
Real Madrid FemeninoDrawArsenal Women
31.51% (-0.128 -0.13) 22.4% (0.016999999999999 0.02) 46.09% (0.109 0.11)
Both teams to score 65.83% (-0.14099999999999 -0.14)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
65.51% (-0.15599999999999 -0.16)34.48% (0.153 0.15)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
43.59% (-0.174 -0.17)56.41% (0.172 0.17)
Real Madrid Femenino Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.93% (-0.149 -0.15)22.06% (0.147 0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.59% (-0.225 -0.23)55.41% (0.223 0.22)
Arsenal Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.47% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)15.53% (0.019 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.55% (-0.037999999999997 -0.04)44.45% (0.036000000000001 0.04)
Score Analysis
    Real Madrid Femenino 31.51%
    Arsenal Women 46.09%
    Draw 22.4%
Real Madrid FemeninoDrawArsenal Women
2-1 @ 7.29% (-0.012 -0.01)
1-0 @ 5.18% (0.018 0.02)
2-0 @ 3.91% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-1 @ 3.67% (-0.022 -0.02)
3-2 @ 3.42% (-0.022 -0.02)
3-0 @ 1.97% (-0.011 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.39% (-0.014 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.29% (-0.014 -0.01)
Other @ 3.39%
Total : 31.51%
1-1 @ 9.64% (0.026999999999999 0.03)
2-2 @ 6.79% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
0-0 @ 3.43% (0.027 0.03)
3-3 @ 2.12% (-0.016 -0.02)
Other @ 0.42%
Total : 22.4%
1-2 @ 8.98% (0.019 0.02)
0-1 @ 6.38% (0.046 0.05)
0-2 @ 5.94% (0.039000000000001 0.04)
1-3 @ 5.58% (0.008 0.01)
2-3 @ 4.21% (-0.012 -0.01)
0-3 @ 3.69% (0.022 0.02)
1-4 @ 2.6% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-4 @ 1.96% (-0.006 -0.01)
0-4 @ 1.72% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
3-4 @ 0.99% (-0.008 -0.01)
1-5 @ 0.97%
Other @ 3.08%
Total : 46.09%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Real Madrid 1-2 Chelsea
Tuesday, December 17 at 5.45pm in Women's Champions League
Last Game: Celtic Women 0-3 Real Madrid
Wednesday, December 11 at 8pm in Women's Champions League
Last Game: FC Twente Women 2-3 Real Madrid
Wednesday, November 20 at 5.45pm in Women's Champions League
Last Game: Real Madrid 7-0 FC Twente Women
Wednesday, November 13 at 5.45pm in Women's Champions League
Last Game: Real Madrid 4-0 Celtic Women
Thursday, October 17 at 5.45pm in Women's Champions League
Last Game: Chelsea 3-2 Real Madrid
Tuesday, October 8 at 8pm in Women's Champions League
Last Game: Everton 1-3 Arsenal
Friday, March 14 at 7pm in Women's Super League
Last Game: Arsenal 4-3 West Ham
Sunday, March 2 at 5.30pm in Women's Super League
Last Game: Arsenal 5-0 Spurs
Sunday, February 16 at 12.30pm in Women's Super League
Last Game: Man City 3-4 Arsenal
Sunday, February 2 at 12pm in Women's Super League
Last Game: Chelsea 1-0 Arsenal
Sunday, January 26 at 12.30pm in Women's Super League
Last Game: Arsenal 5-0 Crystal Palace
Sunday, January 19 at 2pm in Women's Super League


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