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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Connah's Quay Nomads win with a probability of 56.59%. A win for Newtown AFC had a probability of 22.04% and a draw had a probability of 21.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Connah's Quay Nomads win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.23%) and 0-1 (8.14%). The likeliest Newtown AFC win was 2-1 (5.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.69%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Connah's Quay Nomads would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Newtown AFC | Draw | Connah's Quay Nomads |
22.04% ( -0.05) | 21.37% ( -0.07) | 56.59% ( 0.12) |
| Both teams to score 60.39% ( 0.18) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 62.28% ( 0.27) | 37.72% ( -0.26) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 40.04% ( 0.28) | 59.96% ( -0.28) |
| Newtown AFC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.61% ( 0.11) | 30.39% ( -0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.41% ( 0.12) | 66.59% ( -0.12) |
| Connah's Quay Nomads Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.76% ( 0.13) | 13.24% ( -0.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 59.99% ( 0.25) | 40% ( -0.25) |
| Score Analysis |
| Newtown AFC | Draw | Connah's Quay Nomads |
| 2-1 @ 5.77% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 4.79% ( -0.05)2-0 @ 2.85% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 2.32% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 2.29% ( 0)3-0 @ 1.13% ( -0)Other @ 2.89% Total : 22.04% | 1-1 @ 9.69% ( -0.05) 2-2 @ 5.83% ( 0.01)0-0 @ 4.02% ( -0.05)3-3 @ 1.56% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.26% Total : 21.37% | 1-2 @ 9.8% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 8.23% ( -0.03)0-1 @ 8.14% ( -0.06)1-3 @ 6.6% ( 0.03)0-3 @ 5.54% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 3.93% ( 0.03)1-4 @ 3.34% ( 0.03)0-4 @ 2.8% ( 0.02)2-4 @ 1.99% ( 0.02)1-5 @ 1.35% ( 0.02)0-5 @ 1.13% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.74% Total : 56.59% |
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