SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barry Town United win with a probability of 60.66%. A draw had a probability of 20.4% and a win for Briton Ferry had a probability of 18.93%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barry Town United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.98%) and 1-0 (8.48%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.33%), while for a Briton Ferry win it was 1-2 (5.13%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Barry Town United would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Barry Town United | Draw | Briton Ferry |
60.66% ( 0.58) | 20.4% ( -0.14) | 18.93% ( -0.45) |
| Both teams to score 58.67% ( -0.34) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 62.36% ( -0.07) | 37.63% ( 0.06) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 40.12% ( -0.07) | 59.87% ( 0.07) |
| Barry Town United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.96% ( 0.14) | 12.04% ( -0.14) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 62.47% ( 0.3) | 37.52% ( -0.3) |
| Briton Ferry Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.7% ( -0.49) | 33.29% ( 0.48) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.09% ( -0.54) | 69.9% ( 0.53) |
| Score Analysis |
| Barry Town United | Draw | Briton Ferry |
| 2-1 @ 9.88% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 8.98% ( 0.13)1-0 @ 8.48% ( 0.07)3-1 @ 6.97% ( 0.04)3-0 @ 6.34% ( 0.12)3-2 @ 3.83% ( -0.03)4-1 @ 3.69% ( 0.04)4-0 @ 3.36% ( 0.08)4-2 @ 2.03% ( -0)5-1 @ 1.56% ( 0.03)5-0 @ 1.42% ( 0.04)Other @ 4.12% Total : 60.66% | 1-1 @ 9.33% ( -0.04) 2-2 @ 5.43% ( -0.07)0-0 @ 4.01% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 1.41% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.23% Total : 20.4% | 1-2 @ 5.13% ( -0.09) 0-1 @ 4.41% ( -0.05)0-2 @ 2.42% ( -0.06)2-3 @ 1.99% ( -0.05)1-3 @ 1.88% ( -0.06)Other @ 3.09% Total : 18.93% |
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