Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a River Plate win with a probability of 39.69%. A win for Cerro Largo had a probability of 33.13% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a River Plate win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.36%) and 2-0 (7.2%). The likeliest Cerro Largo win was 0-1 (9.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.88%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood.
