Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Racing de Montevideo win with a probability of 37.9%. A win for Fenix had a probability of 33.91% and a draw had a probability of 28.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Racing de Montevideo win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.93%) and 2-0 (7.08%). The likeliest Fenix win was 0-1 (10.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.2%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Racing de Montevideo would win this match.
0.04) 
-0.07) 
