Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nacional win with a probability of 57.04%. A draw had a probability of 25% and a win for Plaza Colonia had a probability of 18%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nacional win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.92%) and 1-2 (9.22%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.53%), while for a Plaza Colonia win it was 1-0 (7.22%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood.
