SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 8 | Defensor Sporting | 23 | 2 | 36 |
| 9 | Fenix | 23 | -1 | 35 |
| 10 | Danubio | 23 | 1 | 32 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 10 | Danubio | 23 | 1 | 32 |
| 11 | Montevideo City Torque | 23 | -1 | 26 |
| 12 | Albion | 23 | -13 | 25 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Montevideo City Torque win with a probability of 40.84%. A win for Fenix had a probability of 31.1% and a draw had a probability of 28.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Montevideo City Torque win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.26%) and 0-2 (7.79%). The likeliest Fenix win was 1-0 (10.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.12%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Fenix | Draw | Montevideo City Torque |
31.1% ( 0.77) | 28.05% ( 0.34) | 40.84% ( -1.11) |
| Both teams to score 46.79% ( -0.67) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 40.89% ( -0.98) | 59.11% ( 0.98) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 20.44% ( -0.77) | 79.55% ( 0.77) |
| Fenix Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.36% ( 0.05) | 34.63% ( -0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 28.64% ( 0.05) | 71.36% ( -0.05) |
| Montevideo City Torque Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.59% ( -1.08) | 28.41% ( 1.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 35.84% ( -1.38) | 64.16% ( 1.38) |
| Score Analysis |
| Fenix | Draw | Montevideo City Torque |
| 1-0 @ 10.43% ( 0.4) 2-1 @ 6.96% ( 0.07)2-0 @ 5.53% ( 0.22)3-1 @ 2.46% ( 0.03)3-0 @ 1.96% ( 0.08)3-2 @ 1.55% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.21% Total : 31.1% | 1-1 @ 13.12% ( 0.1) 0-0 @ 9.84% ( 0.36)2-2 @ 4.38% ( -0.09)Other @ 0.71% Total : 28.05% | 0-1 @ 12.38% ( 0.09) 1-2 @ 8.26% ( -0.18)0-2 @ 7.79% ( -0.18)1-3 @ 3.47% ( -0.19)0-3 @ 3.27% ( -0.18)2-3 @ 1.84% ( -0.1)1-4 @ 1.09% ( -0.09)0-4 @ 1.03% ( -0.09)Other @ 1.72% Total : 40.84% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Montevideo City TorqueTorque | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 4 |
| 2 | NacionalNacional | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
| 3 | Deportivo MaldonadoMaldonado | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
| 4 | Cerro Largo | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
| 5 | Montevideo WanderersWanderers | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 3 |
| 6 | Boston RiverBoston River | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
| 7 | PenarolPenarol | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
| 8 | FenixFenix | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 3 |
| 9 | River PlateRiver Plate | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 10 | DanubioDanubio | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| 11 | Racing de MontevideoRacing | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | -2 | 1 |
| 12 | LiverpoolLiverpool | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 0 |
| 13 | Defensor SportingDefensor | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | -2 | 0 |
| 14 | La Luz | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | -2 | 0 |
| 15 | CerroCerro | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -2 | 0 |
| 16 | Plaza ColoniaPlaza Colonia | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | -3 | 0 |
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