Jun 19, 2022 at 9.30pm UK at Estadio Domingo Burgueño Miguel
Maldonado
1 - 3
Penarol
Arias (76' og.)
Darias (14'), Gonzalez (54'), Cotugno (87'), Lima (89')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between Deportivo Maldonado and Penarol.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Penarol win with a probability of 45.36%. A draw had a probability of 28.5% and a win for Deportivo Maldonado had a probability of 26.15%.
The most likely scoreline for a Penarol win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.26%) and 1-2 (8.37%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13%), while for a Deportivo Maldonado win it was 1-0 (10.1%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Penarol would win this match.
Result |
Deportivo Maldonado | Draw | Penarol |
26.15% ( 0.37) | 28.49% ( 0.29) | 45.36% ( -0.66) |
Both teams to score 43.09% ( -0.48) |
37.5% ( -0.73) | 62.5% ( 0.74) |
17.9% ( -0.54) | 82.1% ( 0.54) |
Deportivo Maldonado Goals |
59.51% ( -0.09) | 40.49% ( 0.1) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
22.9% ( -0.08) | 77.1% ( 0.09) |
72.41% ( -0.68) | 27.59% ( 0.69) |