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Uruguayan Primera Division | Gameweek 15
May 14, 2023 at 7pm UK
Estadio Jardines del Hipódromo
Danubio
1 - 1
Defensor
May (14')
Lewis (20'), Fernandez (24'), May (66'), Silva (77'), Rea (79'), Haller (83')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Balboa (52')
Scotto (6'), Perez (70')
Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between Danubio and Defensor Sporting.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: La Luz 3-1 Danubio
Sunday, May 7 at 7pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Defensor 2-2 Nacional
Sunday, May 7 at 10pm in Uruguayan Primera Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Danubio win with a probability of 35.28%. A win for Defensor Sporting had a probability of 35.2% and a draw had a probability of 29.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Danubio win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.25%) and 2-0 (6.74%). The likeliest Defensor Sporting win was 0-1 (12.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.45%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.5% likelihood.

Result
DanubioDrawDefensor Sporting
35.28% (0.091000000000001 0.09) 29.52% (0.026 0.03) 35.2% (-0.117 -0.12)
Both teams to score 43.44% (-0.076000000000001 -0.08)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
36.45% (-0.091999999999999 -0.09)63.55% (0.091000000000001 0.09)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
17.14% (-0.067 -0.07)82.86% (0.066999999999993 0.07)
Danubio Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.94% (0.013999999999996 0.01)34.06% (-0.013000000000005 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.25% (0.013000000000002 0.01)70.75% (-0.012999999999991 -0.01)
Defensor Sporting Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.89% (-0.12700000000001 -0.13)34.11% (0.128 0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.2% (-0.139 -0.14)70.8% (0.14 0.14)
Score Analysis
    Danubio 35.28%
    Defensor Sporting 35.2%
    Draw 29.51%
DanubioDrawDefensor Sporting
1-0 @ 12.51% (0.049999999999999 0.05)
2-1 @ 7.25% (0.0049999999999999 0)
2-0 @ 6.74% (0.028 0.03)
3-1 @ 2.6% (0.0029999999999997 0)
3-0 @ 2.42% (0.011 0.01)
3-2 @ 1.4% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 2.36%
Total : 35.28%
1-1 @ 13.45%
0-0 @ 11.62% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
2-2 @ 3.9% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 0.54%
Total : 29.51%
0-1 @ 12.49%
1-2 @ 7.24% (-0.024 -0.02)
0-2 @ 6.72% (-0.024 -0.02)
1-3 @ 2.59% (-0.018 -0.02)
0-3 @ 2.41% (-0.017 -0.02)
2-3 @ 1.4% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 2.35%
Total : 35.2%

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Form Guide
Last Game: La Luz 3-1 Danubio
Sunday, May 7 at 7pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Huracan 1-1 Danubio
Tuesday, May 2 at 11pm in Copa Sudamericana
Last Game: Danubio 0-2 Wanderers
Saturday, April 29 at 2pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Fenix 2-1 Danubio
Sunday, April 23 at 7.30pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Guarani 2-1 Danubio
Wednesday, April 19 at 11pm in Copa Sudamericana
Last Game: Penarol 2-0 Danubio
Saturday, April 15 at 7.30pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Defensor 2-2 Nacional
Sunday, May 7 at 10pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: River Plate 0-4 Defensor
Sunday, April 30 at 2pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Defensor 1-1 Maldonado
Sunday, April 23 at 12.30am in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Boston River 1-0 Defensor
Sunday, April 16 at 5pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Defensor 1-1 Cerro
Saturday, April 8 at 8pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Racing 0-1 Defensor
Monday, April 3 at 8pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
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Premier League Table
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
Group 1
1DanubioDanubio32104137
2Boston RiverBoston River32016336
3Defensor SportingDefensor31204225
4Montevideo City TorqueTorque31114314
5River PlateRiver Plate31114314
6La Luz310238-53
7Montevideo WanderersWanderers302113-22
8PenarolPenarol301236-31
Group 2
1LiverpoolLiverpool33009369
2Racing de MontevideoRacing32018536
3NacionalNacional31115414
4FenixFenix30302203
5CerroCerro302123-12
6Cerro Largo302146-22
7Plaza ColoniaPlaza Colonia302158-32
8Deportivo MaldonadoMaldonado302115-42
 
Apertura
1PenarolPenarol15104125111434
2NacionalNacional1585228111729
3Defensor SportingDefensor1567227141325
4Cerro Largo156721310325
5Montevideo WanderersWanderers156541612423
6LiverpoolLiverpool156542419520
7River PlateRiver Plate155551719-220
8Deportivo MaldonadoMaldonado155551823-520
9La Luz155462327-418
10CerroCerro153751316-316
11Montevideo City TorqueTorque153571524-916
12Plaza ColoniaPlaza Colonia154471525-1016
13DanubioDanubio153662019115
14Racing de MontevideoRacing153661317-415
15Boston RiverBoston River152671523-815
16FenixFenix153391123-1212
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