Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Defensor Sporting win with a probability of 37.74%. A win for Danubio had a probability of 34.34% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Defensor Sporting win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.98%) and 0-2 (6.97%). The likeliest Danubio win was 1-0 (10.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.13%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood.
