SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Montevideo City Torque win with a probability of 41.19%. A win for Cerro had a probability of 30.59% and a draw had a probability of 28.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Montevideo City Torque win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.24%) and 0-2 (7.94%). The likeliest Cerro win was 1-0 (10.5%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.15%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Montevideo City Torque would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Cerro | Draw | Montevideo City Torque |
30.59% ( 0.04) | 28.22% ( -0.03) | 41.19% ( -0.01) |
| Both teams to score 46.15% ( 0.09) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 40.17% ( 0.1) | 59.83% ( -0.1) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 19.89% ( 0.08) | 80.1% ( -0.08) |
| Cerro Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.6% ( 0.08) | 35.4% ( -0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 27.84% ( 0.08) | 72.16% ( -0.08) |
| Montevideo City Torque Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.44% ( 0.04) | 28.56% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 35.65% ( 0.05) | 64.35% ( -0.05) |
| Score Analysis |
| Cerro | Draw | Montevideo City Torque |
| 1-0 @ 10.5% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 6.83% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 5.45% ( 0)3-1 @ 2.37% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 1.89% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 1.48% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.07% Total : 30.59% | 1-1 @ 13.15% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 10.11% ( -0.03)2-2 @ 4.28% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.67% Total : 28.21% | 0-1 @ 12.66% ( -0.04) 1-2 @ 8.24% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 7.94% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 3.44% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 3.32% 2-3 @ 1.79% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 1.08% ( 0)0-4 @ 1.04% ( 0)Other @ 1.67% Total : 41.18% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | PenarolPenarol | 15 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 25 | 11 | 14 | 34 |
| 2 | NacionalNacional | 15 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 28 | 11 | 17 | 29 |
| 3 | Defensor SportingDefensor | 15 | 6 | 7 | 2 | 27 | 14 | 13 | 25 |
| 4 | Cerro Largo | 15 | 6 | 7 | 2 | 13 | 10 | 3 | 25 |
| 5 | Montevideo WanderersWanderers | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 16 | 12 | 4 | 23 |
| 6 | LiverpoolLiverpool | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 24 | 19 | 5 | 20 |
| 7 | River PlateRiver Plate | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 17 | 19 | -2 | 20 |
| 8 | Deportivo MaldonadoMaldonado | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 18 | 23 | -5 | 20 |
| 9 | La Luz | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 23 | 27 | -4 | 18 |
| 10 | Montevideo City TorqueTorque | 15 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 15 | 24 | -9 | 16 |
| 11 | DanubioDanubio | 15 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 20 | 19 | 1 | 15 |
| 12 | Racing de MontevideoRacing | 14 | 3 | 6 | 5 | 13 | 16 | -3 | 15 |
| 13 | Plaza ColoniaPlaza Colonia | 14 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 14 | 24 | -10 | 15 |
| 14 | Boston RiverBoston River | 14 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 14 | 22 | -8 | 14 |
| 15 | CerroCerro | 14 | 2 | 7 | 5 | 12 | 16 | -4 | 13 |
| 16 | FenixFenix | 15 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 11 | 23 | -12 | 12 |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
