SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Penarol win with a probability of 49.55%. A draw has a probability of 27.5% and a win for Cerro has a probability of 22.93%.
The most likely scoreline for a Penarol win is 0-1 with a probability of 14.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-2 (10.3%) and 1-2 (8.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (12.58%), while for a Cerro win it is 1-0 (9.08%).
| Result | ||
| Cerro | Draw | Penarol |
22.93% ( 0.64) | 27.52% ( 0.64) | 49.55% ( -1.29) |
| Both teams to score 42.84% ( -0.95) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 38.61% ( -1.58) | 61.39% ( 1.58) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 18.72% ( -1.2) | 81.28% ( 1.19) |
| Cerro Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 57.12% ( -0.27) | 42.88% ( 0.27) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 20.81% ( -0.23) | 79.19% ( 0.23) |
| Penarol Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75% ( -1.3) | 25% ( 1.29) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.34% ( -1.83) | 59.66% ( 1.83) |
| Score Analysis |
| Cerro | Draw | Penarol |
| 1-0 @ 9.08% ( 0.46) 2-1 @ 5.33% ( 0.04)2-0 @ 3.84% ( 0.17)3-1 @ 1.5% 3-0 @ 1.09% ( 0.04)3-2 @ 1.04% ( -0.04)Other @ 1.05% Total : 22.93% | 1-1 @ 12.58% ( 0.18) 0-0 @ 10.72% ( 0.62)2-2 @ 3.69% ( -0.11)Other @ 0.52% Total : 27.51% | 0-1 @ 14.86% ( 0.32) 0-2 @ 10.3% ( -0.16)1-2 @ 8.72% ( -0.21)0-3 @ 4.76% ( -0.26)1-3 @ 4.03% ( -0.25)2-3 @ 1.71% ( -0.12)0-4 @ 1.65% ( -0.16)1-4 @ 1.4% ( -0.14)Other @ 2.13% Total : 49.55% |
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