SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dynamo Kiev win with a probability of 47.72%. A win for Polissya Zhytomyr had a probability of 26.28% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dynamo Kiev win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.2%) and 0-2 (8.88%). The likeliest Polissya Zhytomyr win was 1-0 (8.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.33%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Polissya Zhytomyr | Draw | Dynamo Kiev |
26.28% ( -0.04) | 25.99% ( -0) | 47.72% ( 0.04) |
| Both teams to score 50% ( -0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.33% ( -0.02) | 53.66% ( 0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.84% ( -0.02) | 75.15% ( 0.02) |
| Polissya Zhytomyr Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.51% ( -0.05) | 35.49% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 27.74% ( -0.05) | 72.25% ( 0.05) |
| Dynamo Kiev Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.51% ( 0.01) | 22.49% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 43.95% ( 0.01) | 56.05% ( -0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Polissya Zhytomyr | Draw | Dynamo Kiev |
| 1-0 @ 8.27% ( -0) 2-1 @ 6.39% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 4.28% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 2.21% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 1.65% ( -0)3-0 @ 1.48% ( -0)Other @ 2.01% Total : 26.28% | 1-1 @ 12.33% 0-0 @ 7.98% ( 0.01)2-2 @ 4.77% ( -0)Other @ 0.9% Total : 25.98% | 0-1 @ 11.9% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 9.2% ( 0)0-2 @ 8.88% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 4.58% ( 0)0-3 @ 4.42% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 2.37% ( -0)1-4 @ 1.71% ( 0)0-4 @ 1.65% ( 0)Other @ 3.01% Total : 47.72% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Kryvbas Kryvyi RihKryvbas Kryvyi | 16 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 29 | 15 | 14 | 33 |
| 2 | Dnipro-1Dnipro-1 | 16 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 25 | 15 | 10 | 33 |
| 3 | Polissya ZhytomyrPolissya | 16 | 9 | 4 | 3 | 23 | 11 | 12 | 31 |
| 4 | Shakhtar DonetskShakhtar | 13 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 22 | 13 | 9 | 25 |
| 5 | Rukh Lviv | 15 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 24 | 18 | 6 | 24 |
| 6 | Dynamo Kiev | 12 | 7 | 1 | 4 | 27 | 16 | 11 | 22 |
| 7 | Vorskla PoltavaVorskla | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 17 | 24 | -7 | 22 |
| 8 | Kolos KovalivkaKovalivka | 15 | 4 | 9 | 2 | 11 | 9 | 2 | 21 |
| 9 | Chornomorets OdesaChornomorets | 14 | 6 | 1 | 7 | 23 | 21 | 2 | 19 |
| 10 | LNZ CherkasyCherkasy | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 14 | 17 | -3 | 17 |
| 11 | Metalist Kharkiv | 14 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 15 | 19 | -4 | 15 |
| 12 | Obolon KyivObolon | 15 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 10 | 20 | -10 | 14 |
| 13 | FC OleksandriyaOleksandriya | 15 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 9 | 20 | -11 | 13 |
| 14 | Veres | 15 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 15 | 24 | -9 | 12 |
| 15 | Zorya LuhanskLuhansk | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 13 | 17 | -4 | 10 |
| 16 | Minai | 15 | 0 | 6 | 9 | 6 | 24 | -18 | 6 |
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