SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Obolon Kyiv win with a probability of 40.61%. A draw had a probability of 29.7% and a win for Vorskla Poltava had a probability of 29.68%.
The most likely scoreline for a Obolon Kyiv win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.19%) and 2-1 (7.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.36%), while for a Vorskla Poltava win it was 0-1 (11.54%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 14.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Obolon Kyiv in this match.
| Result | ||
| Obolon Kyiv | Draw | Vorskla Poltava |
40.61% ( 0.16) | 29.71% ( 0) | 29.68% ( -0.17) |
| Both teams to score 41.89% ( -0.07) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 35.07% ( -0.05) | 64.93% ( 0.05) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 16.16% ( -0.04) | 83.84% ( 0.03) |
| Obolon Kyiv Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.57% ( 0.07) | 31.43% ( -0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.19% ( 0.08) | 67.81% ( -0.08) |
| Vorskla Poltava Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.09% ( -0.16) | 38.91% ( 0.16) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.36% ( -0.15) | 75.64% ( 0.15) |
| Score Analysis |
| Obolon Kyiv | Draw | Vorskla Poltava |
| 1-0 @ 14.15% ( 0.06) 2-0 @ 8.19% ( 0.05)2-1 @ 7.73% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 3.16% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 2.98% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 1.41% ( -0)4-0 @ 0.91% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.07% Total : 40.6% | 1-1 @ 13.36% 0-0 @ 12.22% ( 0.02)2-2 @ 3.65% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.47% Total : 29.7% | 0-1 @ 11.54% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 6.31% ( -0.03)0-2 @ 5.45% ( -0.04)1-3 @ 1.98% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 1.71% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 1.15% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.53% Total : 29.67% |
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