Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Zorya Luhansk win with a probability of 43.64%. A win for Chornomorets Odesa had a probability of 31.72% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Zorya Luhansk win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.85%) and 0-2 (6.96%). The likeliest Chornomorets Odesa win was 2-1 (7.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.55%).
