Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shakhtar Donetsk win with a probability of 37.11%. A win for Dynamo Kiev had a probability of 36.74% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shakhtar Donetsk win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.23%) and 0-2 (6.25%). The likeliest Dynamo Kiev win was 1-0 (9.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.42%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Shakhtar Donetsk would win this match.
