SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a USA Under-20s win with a probability of 46.94%. A win for Ecuador Under-20s had a probability of 29.3% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a USA Under-20s win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.45%) and 2-0 (7.2%). The likeliest Ecuador Under-20s win was 1-2 (7.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.98%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that USA Under-20s would win this match.
| Result | ||
| USA Under-20s | Draw | Ecuador Under-20s |
46.94% ( 2.2) | 23.75% ( -0.16) | 29.3% ( -2.04) |
| Both teams to score 59.49% ( -0.64) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.75% ( -0.32) | 42.24% ( 0.32) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.35% ( -0.32) | 64.65% ( 0.32) |
| USA Under-20s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.79% ( 0.77) | 18.2% ( -0.77) |
