SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Argentina Under-20s win with a probability of 78.05%. A draw had a probability of 14% and a win for New Zealand Under-20s had a probability of 7.92%.
The most likely scoreline for an Argentina Under-20s win was 0-2 with a probability of 12.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-3 (10.56%) and 0-1 (9.11%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.63%), while for a New Zealand Under-20s win it was 1-0 (2.51%). The actual scoreline of 0-5 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Argentina Under-20s would win this match.
| Result | ||
| New Zealand Under-20s | Draw | Argentina Under-20s |
7.92% ( -0.11) | 14.03% ( 0.07) | 78.05% ( 0.04) |
| Both teams to score 48.01% ( -0.9) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 65.36% ( -0.83) | 34.64% ( 0.83) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 43.42% ( -0.94) | 56.58% ( 0.94) |
| New Zealand Under-20s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 51.71% ( -0.87) | 48.29% ( 0.87) |
